Casinos are not charities. The free drinks, the lavish buildings, the entertainment – all of it is paid for by a simple mathematical principle built into every game on the floor. That principle is the house edge.
Most players have a vague sense that “the house always wins.” But few understand exactly how or by how much. The house edge is not a trick or a scam. It is an openly available number that tells you precisely how much a game costs to play in the long run. Once you understand it, you can make smarter choices about where to put your money – and you will understand why some games can actually be beaten.
What Is the House Edge?
The house edge is the percentage of each bet that the casino expects to keep over time. It is the mathematical advantage built into the rules of every game.
Simple example: Imagine a coin flip game where you bet $1. If heads, the casino pays you $0.95. If tails, you lose your $1. The coin is fair – 50/50 – but the payout is not. On average, for every $1 you bet, you lose $0.025. That is a house edge of 2.5%.
In real casino games, the mechanism is more complex but the principle is identical. The payouts are structured so that over thousands of bets, the casino retains a small percentage of all money wagered.
How It Works in Practice
The house edge does not mean you lose on every bet. It means the math slightly favors the casino on every bet. In any single hand or spin, you can win big or lose everything. But over thousands of repetitions, the results converge toward the mathematical expectation.
Think of it this way: if a game has a 5% house edge and you bet $10 per hand for 100 hands, you put $1,000 into action. The casino expects to keep about $50 of that. You might walk away up $200 or down $300 on any given night, but across all players and all nights, the casino collects roughly 5% of every dollar wagered.
This is why casinos love volume. They do not need every player to lose. They need enough total bets for the math to work out – and with hundreds of tables and thousands of slot machines running simultaneously, it always does.
House Edge Across Popular Casino Games
Not all games are created equal. The house edge varies dramatically, and choosing the right game is the single easiest way to improve your odds.
| Game | Typical House Edge | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Blackjack (basic strategy) | 0.4% - 0.6% | Lowest edge in the casino with correct play |
| Craps (pass/don’t pass) | 1.36% - 1.41% | Simple bets with good odds |
| Baccarat (banker bet) | 1.06% | Low edge but also low player involvement |
| Roulette (European, single zero) | 2.7% | Fixed edge, no skill involved |
| Roulette (American, double zero) | 5.26% | Nearly double the European version |
| Slot machines | 2% - 15% | Varies widely by machine and casino |
| Keno | 25% - 30% | One of the worst bets in the casino |
The range is enormous. A blackjack player using basic strategy faces a 0.5% edge. A keno player faces 25% or more. Over the same number of bets with the same wager size, the keno player loses roughly 50 times more money.
Why the Differences?
The house edge depends on the rules of the game and how payouts are structured.
Games with no decisions (slots, roulette, keno) have their edge locked in by design. The payout table determines exactly what the casino keeps. You cannot influence it.
Games with decisions (blackjack, video poker) have a variable edge. The published house edge assumes optimal play. If you make mistakes – hitting when you should stand, holding the wrong cards – the effective edge against you is higher. This is why casinos are happy to offer blackjack at 0.5%: most players do not play optimally, and the actual edge the casino enjoys is closer to 2-4%.
Games with a skill component give knowledgeable players better odds. This is the key insight: in games like blackjack and video poker, studying the correct strategy directly reduces how much you lose.
Why Blackjack Can Be Beaten
Blackjack holds a unique position among casino games. With basic strategy, the house edge drops below 1%. With card counting, a skilled player can actually flip the edge and play with a mathematical advantage.
Basic Strategy: Cutting the Edge
Basic strategy is the set of mathematically optimal decisions for every possible hand. Hit or stand, double or split – for every combination of your cards and the dealer’s upcard, one action loses less money (or wins more) than all others.
A player who guesses faces a house edge of 3-5%. A player who follows basic strategy faces roughly 0.5%. The difference comes from making the right decision on borderline hands – the ones where instinct and math disagree.
The most impactful basic strategy decisions:
- Always split Aces and 8s. Two Aces give you two shots at 21. Two 8s make 16 (the worst hand), but each 8 alone is a reasonable starting point.
- Never take insurance. Insurance is a side bet with a house edge over 7%. It is one of the worst bets at the blackjack table.
- Double down on 10 and 11 against weak dealer cards. This is your most powerful offensive move – getting more money on the table when the odds favor you.
- Hit 16 against a dealer 10. It feels wrong, but standing on 16 when the dealer likely has a strong hand loses more money than hitting.
Card Counting: Flipping the Edge
Blackjack is the only common casino game where past results affect future probabilities. Every card dealt changes the composition of the remaining deck, and a deck rich in high cards (10s, face cards, Aces) favors the player.
Card counters track the ratio of high to low cards remaining. When the deck is favorable, they bet more. When it is unfavorable, they bet the minimum. This selective betting – combined with strategy adjustments at certain counts – gives the counter a long-term edge of roughly 0.5% to 1.5%.
The edge is real but thin. Professional counters need large bankrolls to weather the variance, and casinos actively work to identify and exclude counters. It is legal but not welcome.
Why Other Games Cannot Be Beaten
In roulette, every spin is independent. The ball does not remember where it landed last. There is no information to exploit because the odds reset completely with each spin.
Slot machines use random number generators that produce independent outcomes. No pattern of past results tells you anything about future spins.
Blackjack is different because cards are dealt from a finite shoe without replacement. This creates a memory – the deck’s composition changes with every hand, and those changes shift the odds in measurable ways. That mathematical property is what makes card counting possible.
The Special Case of Poker
Poker stands apart from every other casino game because you are not playing against the house. You are playing against other players. The casino takes a small fee called the rake – typically 2.5% to 10% of each pot, capped at a fixed maximum – but it does not care who wins.
This changes everything. In blackjack, you can reduce the house edge but you are still playing against a fixed set of rules. In poker, your opponents make mistakes, and those mistakes are your profit. There is no built-in mathematical limit on how much you can win.
The rake is effectively your cost of playing. A skilled poker player who wins more from opponents’ mistakes than they lose to the rake is a long-term winner. This is why professional poker players exist but professional roulette players do not.
What Makes Poker Different
- Skill matters more. A strong player can have a significant edge over weak opponents – far larger than any advantage available in blackjack.
- No house opponent. The casino provides the table and the dealer but does not play against you. Your opponents are other humans with varying skill levels.
- Information is available. Betting patterns, position, stack sizes, and opponent tendencies all provide exploitable information. The more you study, the bigger your edge.
- The rake is beatable. At most stakes, the rake takes a small enough percentage that a competent player can overcome it and profit consistently.
How to Use the House Edge to Your Advantage
Understanding the house edge does not eliminate it (except in rare cases like card counting), but it does let you make smarter decisions.
Choose Games With Low Edges
This is the simplest and most impactful advice. Playing blackjack with basic strategy at 0.5% instead of American roulette at 5.26% means your money lasts roughly ten times longer. Over a four-hour casino visit betting $10 per hand at 80 hands per hour, the difference is an expected loss of $16 (blackjack) versus $168 (roulette).
Avoid Sucker Bets
Within games, some bets are dramatically worse than others:
- Roulette: The five-number bet (0, 00, 1, 2, 3) has a 7.89% edge – the worst bet on the table
- Craps: Proposition bets like “any 7” carry edges of 10% or more, while the pass line is only 1.41%
- Blackjack: Insurance has a 7%+ edge versus the base game’s 0.5%
- Slots: Progressive jackpot slots often have higher house edges than standard machines to fund the jackpot pool
Understand What You Are Paying
Think of the house edge as the price of entertainment. A 0.5% edge on $10 bets at 80 hands per hour costs you about $4 per hour in expected losses. That is cheap entertainment. A 10% edge on $1 slot spins at 600 spins per hour costs $600 per hour. That is expensive entertainment.
Knowing the price lets you make an informed choice rather than discovering the cost after the fact.
Conclusion
The house edge is not a mystery or a conspiracy. It is a published, calculable number that tells you exactly how much any casino game costs to play. Some games cost very little (blackjack with basic strategy at 0.5%), some cost a moderate amount (craps at 1.4%), and some are expensive (keno at 25%+).
The games that offer the lowest house edge tend to be the ones where your decisions matter. Blackjack rewards studying basic strategy. Poker rewards studying your opponents. In both cases, knowledge directly translates to better results.
If you are drawn to games where skill makes a real difference, poker offers the deepest strategic challenge. The AI Poker Tools Odds Calculator helps you build the probability instincts that separate casual players from consistent winners – calculating exact hand odds in real time so you always know where you stand.